Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 10.803415 12.695164 14.768335 17.201998 19.973252 23.023185 26.626102
2025-04-13 7.037549 9.421882 12.328058 16.097272 20.819062 26.498453 33.801742
2025-04-20 5.626388 8.338748 11.925307 16.935499 23.661049 32.274136 44.017660
2025-04-27 4.775796 7.707349 11.853412 18.003166 26.722253 38.445121 55.158773
2025-05-04 3.987101 6.958927 11.426640 18.417336 28.814709 43.392940 64.982395
2025-05-11 3.281458 6.172903 10.777914 18.350086 30.115988 47.248793 73.494827
2025-05-18 2.678750 5.420888 10.037612 17.994628 30.874148 50.293967 80.976389
2025-05-25 2.196874 4.773465 9.349759 17.596657 31.465120 53.060642 88.158165
2025-06-01 1.807682 4.212376 8.711195 17.172095 31.923558 55.596420 95.090426
2025-06-08 1.431399 3.592336 7.861333 16.251775 31.428749 56.535493 99.532092
2025-06-15 1.305275 3.466997 7.917064 16.955942 33.756025 62.171963 111.768710
2025-06-22 1.167405 3.286022 7.833091 17.378408 35.604314 67.113200 123.139370
2025-06-29 0.946073 2.876756 7.254099 16.844770 35.801999 69.499855 130.841557
2025-07-06 0.733289 2.432653 6.527868 15.930795 35.225407 70.559544 136.502820
2025-07-13 0.672475 2.373168 6.650487 16.794715 38.149416 78.052731 153.781856
2025-07-20 0.629236 2.351694 6.857092 17.861224 41.565638 86.665806 173.543414
2025-07-27 0.556425 2.221512 6.775751 18.273801 43.686981 93.014866 189.611872
2025-08-03 0.472608 2.030011 6.502917 18.207225 44.797813 97.519455 202.571572
2025-08-10 0.391322 1.818034 6.132938 17.854195 45.252007 100.771931 213.378450
2025-08-17 0.322410 1.623383 5.769040 17.458911 45.562362 103.742680 223.800842
2025-08-24 0.264494 1.446375 5.416742 17.037217 45.760356 106.482576 233.912961
2025-08-31 0.204889 1.233973 4.907480 16.123147 44.723146 106.612002 238.932534
2025-09-07 0.189811 1.211413 4.991732 16.822528 47.541405 114.914982 260.508748